Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 45.770034 52.562281 59.625495 67.487186 75.962118 84.793883 94.664051
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 34.849464 44.266013 54.633901 66.763650 80.438124 95.259814 112.423711
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 28.104443 38.714493 50.927372 65.748710 82.988755 102.173669 124.905524
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 23.666724 35.094455 48.775065 65.898577 86.329224 109.540563 137.530616
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 20.205759 32.155274 46.994409 66.089576 89.380799 116.309577 149.257926
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 17.588976 29.940127 45.809275 66.742569 92.770658 123.315555 161.145192
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 14.810749 27.159524 43.618640 65.896808 94.139975 127.777165 169.932721
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 13.191344 25.791832 43.112075 67.051117 97.869778 134.997758 181.952061
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 11.900250 24.742520 42.912239 68.507390 101.912058 142.562287 194.376787
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 10.089551 22.680298 41.142297 67.748787 103.035318 146.477382 202.349711
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.227532 20.281767 38.696059 65.910243 102.632412 148.401528 207.821695
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 7.763600 20.160711 39.530019 68.542433 108.046769 157.596911 222.234851
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.074066 19.581179 39.657964 70.207421 112.241904 165.349959 235.007508
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.870683 17.896313 37.981896 69.237511 112.876196 168.565938 242.155139
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.826144 16.330443 36.357366 68.231577 113.377141 171.551302 248.973561
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.127881 15.339750 35.570040 68.380320 115.401581 176.469972 258.209979
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.523701 14.437233 34.852490 68.576410 117.454308 181.406976 267.468151
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.062024 13.769225 34.474919 69.244425 120.138768 187.160940 277.771451
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.455597 12.604397 33.140180 68.379088 120.626024 190.000703 284.345683
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.171793 12.210723 33.141731 69.560109 123.993281 196.644220 295.805380
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.950727 11.942516 33.347581 71.049835 127.800406 203.883265 308.055483
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.533095 10.967558 32.160538 70.273840 128.322953 206.724460 314.628245
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.095363 9.726594 30.344426 68.392834 127.178030 207.280913 318.206682